Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 6.874453 7.594839 8.395902 9.360086 10.499099 11.814562 13.467749
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.714014 6.651181 7.781444 9.273031 11.234549 13.795477 17.519519
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.979712 5.984741 7.260130 9.048315 11.581946 15.205058 21.131170
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.526725 5.575924 6.961484 9.001840 12.080673 16.854652 25.590183
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.180963 5.252715 6.714647 8.957603 12.531786 18.495743 30.661790
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.982220 5.099582 6.672874 9.188273 13.430118 21.095581 38.845568
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.673891 4.760334 6.320518 8.880967 13.360985 21.906115 43.591949
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.407082 4.457435 5.990568 8.562398 13.206740 22.497684 48.173770
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.204951 4.232766 5.757259 8.371152 13.245477 23.494815 54.610734
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.060534 4.082437 5.624157 8.330483 13.557987 25.187231 64.715147
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.048872 4.129428 5.803107 8.852011 15.086668 30.344255 94.338336
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.978002 4.079158 5.818521 9.077610 16.046210 34.493124 128.535641
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.825444 3.900885 5.623301 8.916393 16.191606 36.638297 159.633055
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.696088 3.753427 5.471881 8.829337 16.517076 39.644700 211.282679
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.559416 3.585396 5.271362 8.619986 16.502847 41.547393 266.166808
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.461302 3.473814 5.159920 8.576722 16.901658 45.276408 381.876244
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.372065 3.371244 5.055987 8.535558 17.299925 49.361405 581.780635
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.326040 3.337330 5.071844 8.750122 18.463569 57.965744 1338.391159
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.216148 3.189861 4.869626 8.464230 18.114835 58.905449 1886.897116
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.112518 3.048498 4.670682 8.167498 17.682420 59.207271 2624.981351
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.031205 2.941686 4.529985 7.989180 17.583305 61.451290 4997.223739
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.972872 2.871665 4.454059 7.951242 17.921747 66.792932 25774.306178
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.980125 2.915111 4.595829 8.437275 20.124262 88.427226 NaN